I would not count on merit to Syracuse and BU (she would need a full tuition scholarship). Also, the NPC may not be accurate given what you are describing, but if you can speak to a FA officer you might be able to come up with a number. If you do not get enough FA (you will need it for all four years) I would drop these two schools. You commented about a “recent high income” which might limit aid.
If you are considering the east coast I would take a look at the SUNY schools. She may get some merit to Binghamton since they are looking to increase OOS students (note: this school is not an academic safety). Also look at the smaller SUNY colleges which are a little cheaper and many give merit (Oneonta, Geneseo etc).
You can also look at Quinnipiac, the U of Rhode Island, and Emerson (Boston area). I am not sure that they will provide enough merit but it’s worth looking.