National Merit Cutoff Predictions Class of 2017

Response from CB when asked where the Oct 2015 state reports are:

“Given the assessment redesign and introduction of a spring PSAT administration state reporting will be delayed to allow a combined view. College Board will be sharing SAT, PSAT/NMSQT, and AP results in a unified annual report in the late summer/early fall.”

AAAAAAAARRRRRRRGGGGGGGHHHHHHH!!! Whew. Glad that’s out of my system.

@suzyQ7 – Thanks for sharing that CB feedback on the state reports release timing (moved from Feb/Mar to Fall) - - that’s just ridiculous but somehow not so surprising. 8-|
And so many students will be thinking about he upcoming Oct. 2016 PSAT, whether to take the SAT or not based upon the content changes and scoring.

College Board tweeted this on January 8, what do you think? No asterisk means you meet entry requirements?
https://twitter.com/CollegeBoard/status/685601755124641793

I think the no asterisk means that you are a junior, making you eligible for NM consideration.

You are right, it just means you mean the demographic requirements. https://twitter.com/CollegeBoard/status/709793455753580544
Wish they would just tell people!

I don’t buy it, but this link states “To be a semi-finalist, the anticipated score needed this year in Ohio is 1349.” - slide 29.

http://www.wcsoh.org/docs/district/depts/78/assessment%20literacy%20night%20parent%20meeting%20presentation.pdf

@OHToCollege – thanks for sharing – that seems rather low - I don’t have handy the charts done earlier that line up the total scores with SI’s. On the preliminary concordance table a 1350 is about a 197 for earlier tests. Testmasters prediction is an SI of 215 for Ohio. Wonder where this District got its info.

@OHToCollege and @CA1543 - I think the charts done earlier had it higher than 197 (maybe 206 and possibly start of 99%). I also wonder where the district got it’s info and also why they would indicate it as a score (1350) rather than a SI which is what NM is going to use to identify NMSF.

From http://www.wcsoh.org/docs/district/depts/78/assessment%20literacy%20night%20parent%20meeting%20presentation.pdf
Slide 29, with 1349, TS 1349 probabbly comes from
http://blog.prepscholar.com/psat-score-needed-for-national-merit-scholarship

Good work @dallaspiano! We already know how outdated that article is by now.

@dallaspiano – you are on top of things…when do you have time for school??

Same question @dallaspiano – you’re leaving us in the dust! Hope school is going well for you. :slight_smile:

Thank you. Just finish Finals this week, last Mar SAT I did well

Anybody heard anything new?

Got a snail mail brochure from OU last week that talks all about their $124,000 National Merit package and congrats on your PSAT score. He got something from OU by email before, so not all that new.

My daughter received the same brochure from OU last week. We live in California and she received a PSAT SI of 221. Still wondering whether that score will be sufficient in California . . . . Any thoughts?

S also got the OU flyer. SI of 220.

We got the OU brocures in DC. Wouldn’t it be great if there were more schools like OU around the country! My question is, are these schools getting any better information than we are. I’m pretty sure that the College Board will only distribute percentiles to colleges. If anyone knows how these distribution lists work, that would be helpful. I’m guessing that OU asked for the top 1% in each state. Alternatively they may ask for students in the 99+ range for some states (DC, MA, NJ, etc.) all the way down to students in the 97 range for WV, WY, etc . . . If it is the former method, then the College Board would be using state stats that haven’t been made public. If it is the latter method then they could be using the same stats as the ones received on the exam scores. We know they are inaccurate, but the colleges have to take what the College Board makes available.

I’m surprised there wasn’t much discussion/analysis on this thread of the fact that the national hispanic cutoff increased substantially from last year to this year (199ish to to 204 for the South). That does not bode well for NMS cutoffs.