Also waiting for CT results. Based on how 2017 cutoffs for the States we know compare with prior years’ cutoffs, it seems CT should come in at 220 or 221. Art’s prediction always seemed a little low to me. His predictions must contain some qualitative information that would cause, for example, an estimate of 219 for TX whose previous cutoffs were never greater than CT’s. Anyone have an explanation for this?
@Rat 5 check out the Compass Blog - there are several new scores buried within the recent comments!
More, folks:
NE 215
NC 218
MI 216
Sorry if these have already been posted!
I also think CT will end up at 220 or 221- which would totally stink!!
Al
@Rat5 On Art’s blog in the comments he references a test prep company that apparently had access to Houston ISD’s data. However, I can’t remember if he updated his prediction for Texas based on that info. I seem to remember that at one point the expected number was 218.
When I spoke to the National Merit corporation, they said the letters were mailed last Tuesday (Aug 23). It does seem like some schools are sitting on them as its been a whole week. They also told me that the application deadline for finalist was Oct 12, so at least there is sometime after the official release date of Sept 14 for kids to prepare their application. The kids that received letters must have access to the online application and essay prompt, so it will be very considerate of them if those prompts can be posted here.
Anyone else in OK hear anything? My email from GC was so vague (just telling me to go ahead and schedule SAT test for DS, who has a 215) that I am still VERY nervous…for all I know, she just thinks testing is a good idea, or else she was making a projection without any info. I haven’t head from anyone else in OK that they even have the scores in hand!
@ollie113 and Rat5, TX isn’t the only state to come in over the prediction. Compass had definitely looked at the Houston ISD data to arrive at their 219 point estimate. Unfortunately that was under the actual cut-off. Keep in mind, however, that Compass also warned against focusing on one estimate as opposed to a range. In fact, there are two states so far with cut-offs higher than Art’s range: NC and, amazingly (IMHO) MN. The remaining have been within, although mostly on the high side.
Adam at Compass confirmed CT @ 220.
Quick update: Compass has confirmed cutoffs for 28 states so far. Here’s a breakdown:
None has ended up in the lower end of the range.
Eight states are “no change” from the midpoint prediction (DC, ID, LA, NH, NJ, SC, UT, WV)
13 states exceeded the midpoint by one (AL, CA, CO, FL, KS, KY, MA, MD, MI, NE, NY, NC, TX)
Five exceeded by two (IA, IL, MO, VA, WI)
Two have broken out of the corral, exceeding by three points: (MN, TN)
OK make that 29! Just saw CT. 220 is 2 points above the mid-point prediction.
Sure about UT? Adam on Arts Blog posted 215 which would be on high end?
My friend got nmsf with 216 in FL
Sigh I got 36 ACT, 1570 SAT but did not make my cutoff
when you get a 220 SI in MD but find out the cutoff is 221 
UT at 215 definitely in the comments on Compass.
More states:
IN 217
GA 219
All per Adam (presumably for Art)
VT 215.
Update Maine 214.
these two are the first to come in UNDER the midpoint
This’ll be one helluva update tonight!
@TimEnchanter - Result for NV is 214 per Adam on behalf of Art!
(Cross-posted with you!)
Adam in comments also adds that NV is 214!
AZ 219
@Harryp17 If it makes you feel better, I rather have my kid switch places with you regarding standardized test scores: My kid got 33 in ACT and below 2100 in SAT (took as a sophomore) but made the CA cutoff as a NMSF. My kid always felt that he could do better in standardized tests, but I don’t think he expected to ever make the CA cutoff. He still doesn’t know because he honestly thinks he has no chance making the cutoff. This is another reason I personally do not feel that colleges should care all that much about these “general” standardized tests such as SAT or ACT IMO. I am ok with their counting “specific” standardized tests such as AP or Subject Tests.
I am all for pursing a “general” education, but does it really matter that your English grammar should be really good when you are pursuing an engineering or mathematics degrees? Not saying they are not important, but common sense would dictate that a very talented student in math should be accepted by MIT Mathematics major even with 500 score on SAT English section. Conversely, if you are going to major in English Lit, does it really matter you got 400 in SAT math?