<p>He or she is showing all of us how ignorant we are.</p>
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<p>If you look at the only 50 state match up done Obama has more EV’s even while losing Florida. He doesn’t need Florida or should bother chasing after it. Especially since McCain may pick his sidekick from Florida, Charlie Crist. Of course it depends on whether or not people find out he’s gay. And he probably is.</p>
<p>^^ who? Obama, McCain or Crist?</p>
<p>Crist of course. It’ wont be secret if McCain is the nominee.</p>
<p>OB has dropped like a rock since that last state survey.</p>
<p>Definitely many polls that show McCain ahead of both Obama and Clinton. More ahead of Obama than Clinton.</p>
<p>I understand that polls change all the time and won’t mean the same in 4-6 months. One thing however that is a fact is that every poll whatsoever has shown Obama going down somewhat from prior to the Reverend Wright situation. ALSO; the biggest drop in the polls has been among his own party. Just about every poll has shown the same thing.</p>
<p>There is a lot that will never be said on these forums, during interviews, on the street, etc… because it’s not politically correct. I think having Obama in the race is an excellent thing because it forces certain issues to be addressed during debates and interviews. However; when the dust settles and the people are standing behind the magical wizard of oz curtain; I don’t think Obama is going to have the level of support that some think he will. Just an opinion based on poll trends and the many interviews being done among democrats in the media.</p>
<p>Its no longer a question about if Obama will win or not. Despite all the controversy Obama WILL BE the next President of the United States of America.</p>
<p>But everything that has happened has made it harder for it to happen. For sure he is already the democratic nominee (Hillary can never catch up even with a huge win in Pennsylvania), all that remains is the general election. And it is GREAT that all of this crap comes out now WAY before the general election or else it would of been devastating and the Republicans would of had a very viable chance at winning the general election. </p>
<p>But the trigger was pulled too early. And people have very short memories and what once seemed like a big deal will seem relatively trivial in two or three months. Well before the general elections start.</p>
<p>But the main reason the Democrats will win is because Obama isn’t some rich white dummy (Bush). Hes something fresh and hes smart. He went to Columbia and later graduated from Harvard Law where he was president of the Harvard Law Review. He has proven that he can speak and is very proficient in the art of CYA. He can do it without alienating too much of any part of his base. He’s not the messiah but people like him and I don’t think his base will be much bothered by the ranting Wright (or the ranting right).</p>
<p>But this is the main reason why the Democrats will win in November. Things are going VERY poorly in the economy. Fear mongering about Arabs, Muslims, etc. are NOTHING compared to fears about losing your job, house, health and health coverage. People are TIRED of hearing about Muslim this, Muslim that. The only question now is how close its going to be. I think things would go even better if Obama had Hillary as his VP. (but I doubt that’ll happen)</p>
<p>^^^ Kenshinsan- I like your positive attitude, but I don’t think it is going to play out the way you describe. I see a President John McCain in our future. There is an academic question of whether he will defeat Obama or Clinton (or both) in November.</p>
<p>…John McCain told supporters that we need to attack Al Queda…in Iraq. </p>
<p>John McCain=George Bush V2=Not President. </p>
<p>As soon as the Dems decide on a nominee and they have time to get over their bitterness about this floor fight, it will be a much different story. I think both Obama and Clinton supporters know that no matter how much they’d hate to admit it right now, they’ll vote democratic in November no matter what.</p>
<p>One good thing to arise out of this “Wright” story is that the whole “Obama Secret Muslim” thing now looks pretty ridiculous. They can’t get mad at him for attending a somewhat bombastic Christian Church and still say ‘but he’s a muslim’.</p>
<p>It’s not the dem supporters that will defect. It’s the independents. Unless there is some major blow-up in Iraq it’s a secondary issue now. That die is cast. The economy and domestic issues will rule.</p>
<p>Democrats don’t want this election to be about Iraq. McCain is trusted more then both of them on it (look at the polls) and most Americans now think iraq is going good (also according to polls). McCain would kill either Obama or Clinton on Iraq. While they say “lets get the troops out now” McCain can say 2 things…He can say he supports the war etc, but can also take jabs @ bush by saying that he was the one who argued against the bush/rummy strategy and advocated for the surge. In doing this he distances himself from the bush iraq strategy. There’s a reason the majority of Americans trust him on Iraq more than Obama, by a wide margin.</p>