Is being commended still impressive to colleges?
I did not do predictions for most states, but I did do a “high” prediction, and unfortunately ended up with 219 as the middle estimate, but it could be slightly higher or even lower. Yes, it’s realistic, but try not to get your hopes up too high, as it’s not a sure thing by any stretch. Fingers crossed!
Also, my high was based on 224, not 225 (DC), but since CA was only 223 last year, it may work in your favor! Good luck!
(Disclaimer: I could be WAY off base here, and tend to be pessimistic overall.)
@PAMom21 For CA cutoff, my gut feeling says I would NOT be surprised at all if the cutoff was 220 or 221. I would be slightly surprised if the cutoff was 219, and I would be HIGHLY surprised if cutoff was 222. Just my gut feeling.
@suzyQ7w/ msg #3678, @destined4harvard w/ msg #3680 about scoring system
" Scores are based on percentiles, not total correct answers"
from other link
https://collegereadiness.collegeboard.org/psat-nmsqt-psat-10/scores/understanding-scores
“Score ranges, mean (average) scores, benchmarks, and percentiles can be used to see if you’re on track for college readiness.”
Just curious, why do you believe it will be so high? I’m not from CA but I’ve seen multiple people make the 220 guess and it seems absurdly high.
@websensation, my high for CA was 222, but that’s a sort of worst case scenario. It really depends on the breakdowns. Is the average NMS an even profile? Or a spiky one? Sadly, we really have no way of knowing. And it just hit me that even the commendation cut in April isn’t going to help those upper end guesses. Your gut is as good (or better!) than any of the formulas some of us are crunching.
@websensation based off of all the data, there’s no way it’s going to be 222. That’s way out of range for many of the top, top scores being reported in the 99th percentile. 221 is pretty high as well. I think 219, MAYBE 220 is the best guess.
@jrob1765
CA isn’t even the highest state for cutoffs. There is absolutely no way it goes past 220. Nobody would even get it at that point.
@jrob1765 I base this guess on the CB concordance tables and also from the postings at CC which tends to have very high scorer posters. There seems to be many posters with 218, 219 and 220 SI scores this year; therefore, I find it hard to believe that all these people will make the NMSFs. It’s obvious to me that people who scored either 37 or 37 in Writing and 37 or 38 in Reading could have missed many Math questions and still get 36.5 in Math and still make the cutoff of 221 SI score.
@PAMom21 I agree that for CA 222 SI is the WORST scenario, and as I said, I would be HIGHLY surprised if the CA cutoff was 222.
Has anyone made a best guess for semifinalist score in Mass?
@appgodxoxo Again, I have seen many 218, 219 and 220 SI scores in CA. I have a hard time thinking all these people would make NMSF. Like I said, it’s just a guess. Also like I said, I would be HIGHLY surprised if 222 was the cutoff for CA, meaning I don’t think it will be 222. The highest I think it will be is 221 at this point. That’s the last time I am going to post on “guessing” SI score until CB releases further data.
@bosdad For MA, I would say 220, 221 or 222. That’s my best guess.
EDIT: I didn’t realize MA cutoff was the same as CA cutoff last year, so I would say the same cutoff for CA. IMO, it could range from 219, 220 and 221. For DC and NJ, hopefully, the cutoff will be the same as CA and MA but could be 1 point higher than CA and MA.
@bosdad MA will likely be 220, like CA… NJ, DC could reach all the way up to 223.
Anyone have thoughts about Texas and NY - Test masters are predicting 217.
As has been discussed, Test Masters is our best guess at this point, for many different reasons. @CA1543
I just got my access code from my counselor, but CB “couldn’t locate” my scores with it. Did any of you guys have similar problems? Help would be so appreciated.
A 223 is 2x in Reading, 2x in Math, and 1x in Writing… Highly unlikely that the cutoff will be that high anywhere.
@PAMom21 Do you have a guess for NY?
Testmasters based its Texas prediction of 217 off of last years score of 220 which was the highest its ever been and Texas usually posts a high score then the next year drops a point or two. So I’m hopeful it will only be a 216 or possibly 215 