<p>I specifically bought the dia calls only out a couple of weeks, because it has broken out and I expect it to go higher for a bit more (spy hasn’t broken out and will take a while to go through resistance at 1565)</p>
<p>Yeah that takes it to roughly 1600 but I think it is going to take a while to get through 1565. My year end target is between 1600 - 1700 and I expect a 10% correction somewhere before we get to that upper range.</p>
<p>You don’t have to find out if I’m right - I’m definitely right. I see that mini options are going to start trading on aapl, spy etc next week - looks interesting. Somebody suggested looking at aapl leaps. I see I can buy the 1/18/14 415 - 500 call spread for $35.75 and since the improvement in aapl is widely expected to be in the second half, perhaps this is a good trade.</p>
<p>Ok… A 12.50 dividend should cover most special dividends that are rumored. Otherwise those owners of leaps would get screwed if there was a special dividend.</p>
<p>The price I quoted for the leap spread was the ask (415) - bid (500) and the spreads are bigger but not that big. If you buy the spread now and wait to sell it then (the spread is going to be a lot less)</p>
<p>aapl dividend is 2.5% and you’re ignoring the cost of trading it multiple times during the year. I’m going to be semi - retired next year and so if I hold the spread until January will pay less taxes since I will definitely be in a lower tax bracket.</p>
<p>For goog and aapl I usually buy 3 - 5 contracts. For spy 5 -10 contracts. For things like bac - 20 contracts. I never do positions that are too large except aapl and goog. Last year it was great - this year not so. I sell typically 5 spy put contracts, 1 for aapl and goog, 10 for iwm.</p>
<p>The leap spread isn’t helped by the dividend so I am not getting where you are going with that.</p>
<p>One thing I look at is where would the leap spread trade if the stock rallied a certain amount…</p>
<p>So…if the stock rallied 50 bucks where would the spread trade…
I look at the 365-450 spread and where that trades.</p>
<p>Where would the spread trade if the stock dropped 25 bucks?
Where does the 440-525 spread trade?</p>
<p>Then I would look at where the spread trades over time.</p>
<p>I would look at the jul options for example and compare them with the jans…</p>
<p>The spread looks like it has a 25 delta so for every 10 point move on the upside of aapl…the spread should rise approximately 2.5. This will change as the options get a lot closer to expiration.</p>
<p>If you are happy with this…go for it. </p>
<p>I like aapl. I think the stock looks good. I am a little concerned about
upcoming earnings, but I am always concerned about something. :)</p>
<p>We trade in similar ways. We don’t bet big on anything…most of the time.</p>
<p>$12k, is great… or terrible… depending. My best performing account is up $1537 this year. It’s my “buy and hold everything in one stock etf account” up 10% ytd.</p>