The investment..speculation, out right gambling thread

<p>You do need over 600. You need 600 plus the cost of the trade. 600.59 and that doesn’t include commissions or fees.</p>

<p>I’m going to virtual trade this in cboe and see how it behaves.</p>

<p>OK…</p>

<p>The trade is still going to lose .59 at expiration below 600. </p>

<p>I think the 451.xx is the breakeven today…</p>

<p>There is a premium in these options. </p>

<p>They aren’t worth zero today.</p>

<p>That is the answer.</p>

<p>I’m not certain I’m using the analyzer correctly - I’ll have to look into more when I have a chance. There is a bunch of stuff there that I’m not certain how to interpret.</p>

<p>Ok… Looks like you can Check and see how the trade does over time. You don’t have to wait for expiration. </p>

<p>It is worth .59 today. It is worth .50 in a few weeks if the stock is trading for the same price…</p>

<p>Volatility changes it is worth more…</p>

<p>Stock rises quickly to 500, the trade is worth more.</p>

<p>Looks like a nice toy.</p>

<p>I haven’t looked at it… :)</p>

<p>It sounds like you looked at it. I saw something about how it looks with time but I couldn’t adjust it - it started in October for some reason. Like I said I’ll have to play around with it going forward.</p>

<p>I didn’t and haven’t looked at the analyzer. I am just listening to you describe what you see. </p>

<p>Looks like you are going to get the value of trades on different dates, different volatilities and different price points. </p>

<p>I think that can be very helpful.</p>

<p>In the plots, the condor has a rounded top instead of a flat top. I think this must be for some date and not at expiration.</p>

<p>Sounds right…</p>

<p>Does the analyzer use deltas?</p>

<p>As we discussed a few days ago:</p>

<p>“Apple Inc. (AAPL) avoided as much as $9.2 billion in taxes by financing part of a $55 billion stock buyback with debt rather than offshore cash that would have been billed by the U.S. government, Moody’s Investment Services estimates.”</p>

<p>[Apple</a> Avoids $9.2 Billion in Taxes With Debt Deal - Businessweek](<a href=“Bloomberg - Are you a robot?”>Bloomberg - Are you a robot?)</p>

<p>I can see why this is good for aapl…</p>

<p>“Massachusetts is reporting April tax collections that were up more than 14 percent compared with what the state took in last April.”</p>

<p>[Mass</a>. reports jump in April tax revenue gains | CapeCodOnline.com](<a href=“Entertainment in Hyannis, MA | Cape Cod Times”>Entertainment in Hyannis, MA | Cape Cod Times)</p>

<p>I was in Boston last night. Believe me, the traffic that I went through last night certainly felt like things are going well. The traffic was caused by a Boston Celtics game - lots of people can spend $$$ for tickets and $35-$50 for parking.</p>

<p>As I wrote earlier, on Tuesday I made $30K, then lost it on Thursday. I made $28K of it back on Thursday and Friday. The $compq chart bothers me a little (don’t like those gaps). $SPX is great. $RUT is okay but it still hasn’t broken out. I didn’t check the $indu. It is still a stockpicker’s market - there were stocks that went down yesterday. NKE and TJX are both looking great (wish I bought them back). PSEC looks good. PBA went way up and gave a little back - that’s okay.</p>

<p>I don’t think that I posted this here but please ignore it if you’ve already seen it.</p>

<p>Yesterday I was rearranging my computer setup and wanted to see if I could remote-control my Mac from my PC. There is a commercial product to do this called MultiVista and it costs $39.99 per machine. Imagine my surprise when I found out that Google has such a product in beta that works with Windows, Linux and Mac OS X servers and Windows, Linux and Mac OS X clients. And it’s free. I was able to get Mac OS X to Windows to work but not the other way around. I suspect a configuration issue but I didn’t have time to play with it. I wondered why Google built this program.</p>

<p>I have been wondering about Chromebooks too. The Samsung Chromebook has been the best-selling laptop on Amazon for 189 days. The 13.3 inch MacBook Pro has the #2 spot. Amazing that Windows is in third-place behind these two. The Chrome Remote Desktop program appears to let you control your computer (Mac, Windows or Linux) from the Chromebook so that you can do your work remotely on your home or office PC if you always have an internet connection. This would be useful for those that are always connected - you could carry a cheap, light system around with you where all of the real work is done somewhere else. This is the old idea of the “dumb terminal” or a lightweight variant of client-server computing.</p>

<p>Microsoft should be scared. This means that people can keep their old computers running at home or the office and just connect to them on the road.</p>

<p>I am happy to see the tax receipts go up like that in Mass. I think traffic is a good indicator too. </p>

<p>I am not watching the market enough to be a swing trader. I don’t want to watch the market that close anymore.</p>

<p>Post 7193 is very interesting BCEagle91. </p>

<p>The msft tablet with intc chips had made some inroads In the tablet market. The guy who runs blackberry says tablets aren’t going to exist in 5 years.</p>

<p>I am keeping my intc position which is probably smaller than yours.</p>

<p>Nice day on Friday…BCEagle91.</p>

<p>I’m not holding INTC right now - it went with the dump on Tuesday. INTC is at an interesting point. It’s run pretty far in a short period of time and it didn’t really participate in the rally on Friday. The 50 is about to cross over the 200 which would be a nice bullish long-term signal. The relative weakness of Intel/MSFT tablets is due to Microsoft being late to the game. The market moved towards 7/8 inch tablets last summer in a big way with Google and then Apple in the fall. I think that Microsoft and their OEMs had already committed to 10/11 inch tablets at that time and couldn’t react to the market changing sharply.</p>

<p>An Acer 8-inch tablet was leaked on Amazon.com yesterday. It’s $379 and uses an Atom chip. This puts it $50 more than the iPad Mini and $179 more than the Google Nexus 7. It can run Windows legacy applications but would you really want to do that on a screen that small? I like to run Windows on dual and triple monitor systems where the monitors are at least 20 inches. Microsoft has to charge that much because they make their money on the operating system. The 10/11 inch tablets that came on the market last year have been discounted so you can save $100 or more if you want one of them.</p>

<p>Also, those 7/8 inch Windows tablets will be on the heavy side. The Acer is 1.1 pounds while the Nexus 7 is 0.75 pounds. Windows has heavier requirements than iOS and Android so you need a bigger battery and that adds weight. I think that the next iPad (10 inches) may get down to 1.1 pounds.</p>

<p>I’m pretty happy with the tech that I have right now: iPhone 5, Nexus 7, two laptops from 2008, a 2009 desktop and a 2010 27 inch iMac. A small Windows table might be interesting - but I don’t really need one. I’d guess that there are a ton of other people out there using stuff from 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 that are happy with their tech.</p>

<p>BCEagle, how can you relax with so many ups and downs?</p>

<p>I dont know what to make of this. Sounds expensive.</p>

<p>[With</a> New Service, Any Device Could Run Almost Any Program From Anywhere | TechCrunch](<a href=“http://techcrunch.com/2013/05/03/with-new-service-any-device-could-run-almost-any-program-from-anywhere/]With”>With New Service, Any Device Could Run Almost Any Program From Anywhere | TechCrunch)</p>

<p>Yes, their technology sounds similar to Google’s. Google’s Chrome Remote Desktop also runs through the browser and I assume that it renders with Javascript or HTML5. In Otoy’s case, though, it appears that you rent the device and service from Otoy for $300/year as opposed to connecting to your own gear remotely. This would also assume that you have a healthy WAN connection and, if on a cellular network, a hefty data plan.</p>

<p>There may also be more power consumption for the WAN radio.</p>

<p>Phones and tablets are getting more powerful processors and those processors are generating more heat. Intel has a two-plus year lead in process technology and can build processors that do more work at a given power load in the CPU power band above the traditional ARM processors. One are where you can see this is that tablets now require heat pipes (these have been in laptops for a long time):</p>

<p>“Cooling module demand from tablets is rising in 2013 as average power consumption of ARM-based processors has increased significantly from 3W in the past to 6-7W currently and heat pipes are now required for products consuming more than 7W of power, according to sources from cooling module makers.”</p>

<p>[Heat</a> pipe demand from tablets starts rising in 2013](<a href=“Heat pipe demand from tablets starts rising in 2013”>Heat pipe demand from tablets starts rising in 2013)</p>

<p>Intel is pretty bullish about tablet design wins for this summer and fall. They may have technological reasons for being bullish if ARM is running into some limitations of their architecture. ARM does really well in the low-power area. Intel does really well - they actually have no competition right now, in the high-power area. ARM is trying to push up and Intel is pushing down. Intel has a natural process advantage and they may actually wind up trouncing ARM in this 7-10 watt space.</p>

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<p>[Tentative</a> Outright Treasury Operation Schedule - Federal Reserve Bank of New York](<a href=“http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html]Tentative”>Tentative Outright Treasury Operation Schedule - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK)</p>

<p>In the old days, I watched the Fed Repo Operations. These were short-term operations, loans to the Gang of 22 banks of up to a month. These remind me of the repo operations with one big difference: these don’t get wound down. I know that the Fed is supposed to wind these down eventually and at a profit but I don’t know if that will ever happen.</p>

<p>A dollar amount may be a big deal or not depending on what you’re playing with. dstark said that he used to trade a million q’s a day. That’s tens of millions of dollars. $30K would be a speck. It’s not a speck for me but it isn’t something that I lose sleep over. I’d lose sleep about it fifteen years ago though.</p>