To Pass the Time--Status Change Theory!

<p>At a time when many posts are asking for answers, here’s one mom’s theory on the statuses:</p>

<p>Of course they must mean something. We just have no idea what and that’s been puzzling smart USC applicants and parents for several years. Since everyone is going a little batty in the last days before letters arrive, I thought I’d share my notions and please shoot it down or add your two cents.</p>

<p>I’ll start by suggesting that USC’s admissions process is fully digital, so the status messages are likely triggered each time a particular file is made available for the next step in its progress through the system, or is acted upon. An additional confounding factor to those trying to figure out what it all means is that none of us knows the exact steps in the admissions process, nor can we interpret any technical glitches that seem to make statuses randomly go backward and forward. I have been a big proponent on this board for not taking those status messages too seriously. I have ultimate sympathy for nervous applicants and worried parents who would like to know where their chances for admission lie, but I think it has been impossible to decipher the status changes because our input is incomplete, and not every status change has significance. </p>

<p>To wit, they 1) may simply be reflecting internal paper-flow management of files, having nothing to do with the merit of candidates, 2) may be subject to (hopefully) minor clerical or system errors which are later corrected, 3) may differ for candidates in different majors, to which we on cc are not always paying attention, For instance, the file of a student applying to CLAS may be reviewed <em>only</em> by the main USC adcom, while the application of a student who is applying to Marshall may take a different route, or may have additional steps, 5) may signify a candidate has not made the initial cut-off for qualification, or 6) (depending on timing–notably right before a wave of acceptances are to be mailed) may correlate with final decisions. </p>

<p>But basically, to start out…</p>

<p>All applications are received in several pieces, some pieces are electronic, others in hard copy. Those hard copy entries must be scanned and added to the file. So before a file can be ready for review the pieces must be gathered, scanned, and checked for completeness. At this stage, certain items may be listed in your status as missing or present. </p>

<p>When the file is complete, it may be electronically marked as such by the admissions system to flag the appropriate USC director in charge of that student’s area that it’s ready for review. It is possible that <em>readiness</em> state is noted as one of the status messages some of you see. </p>

<p>However, depending on intended major, one or more different Schools’s admissions reps may also need to receive copies of this file. Perhaps this accounts for the different language–minor word changes between status messages that drive CCers nuts. </p>

<p>Other factors which make the process less easy to figure out are the internal workflow variations each year. Some regions may have a larger than expected number of applicants. That area’s admissions director may have to “hand off” a portion of their files to a less taxed director in the early stages of review. In my theory, any sort of internal file movement may trigger a status update, but essentially tells nothing about how well or not that applicant may be faring in the process.</p>

<p>My observation has been that while most of the status changes are hard to pin down, some may have a correlation to positive movement through the chain. I wish I could tell you which was which.</p>

<p>Good luck to everyone who is sitting on pins and needles. And shoot down these theories if you need to do <em>something</em> with this stressful time. LOL.</p>

<p>This is the most reasonable theory I have encountered here! Applicants, try to keep your focus on finishing high school with a flourish - don’t let yourself get too obsessed with checking your status. You are a great bunch of kids and will have wonderful options to choose from in just a few weeks - Good luck!</p>

<p>wow. </p>

<p>i have always hovered but never felt compelled to write. until now…</p>

<p>madbean–you are absolutely right. in all this “status change” mess, i believe there is a small, hidden indicator for where an applicant stands. unfortunately, no one on this forum (or in past years) have figure out what that indicator is–2 columns, 3 columns, forwarded, not forwarded, no scholarship letter, grade request, etc. </p>

<p>thank you for taking the time to layout all the possibilities. the randomness (server going down, handoffs between depts, overwhelmed regional rep) is probably more prevalent than we think.</p>

<p>This makes a lot of sense. I appreciate the thought and time that went into this!</p>

<p>I also will stand to believe that this theory makes the most sense, but that doesn’t mean I won’t pray and pretend that I know precisely what each update means! Of course I’m going to speculate. I suppose that speculation is just the nature of me and my fellow CCers.
What I can say for myself and quite a few of us on this board is that most of the speculation we do on here is for fun and to pass the time. I’m definitely not going to say “OMGOMGOMG 237Hfhs said that the ‘forwarded’ status means I’m getting in! OMG CONGRATZ 2 ME!” Haha, I’m not going to take any of the statuses as a definite yes or a no, but it could be interesting to look into, you know?</p>

<p>I guess what I’m trying to say with that long block of text up there ^ is that most of my status craze is just about me passing the time as I wait for my acceptance or rejection. In no way am I taking what anyone says as the for sure and definite truth.</p>

<p>oxo, of course it’s fun to read the tea leaves! I think the students who come here and share their updates and go crazy over status changes are having fun (for the most part) and relieving stress. Keep on keeping on! LOL.</p>

<p>For those who are puzzle solvers, mystery readers, and detectives, it can strain logic to figure out why the system works the way it does. USC has no reason to set up the system to befuddle everyone–so I was just taking a stab at an explanation. </p>

<p>Since many of the status changes are meaningless at best (and my S was accepted with NO updates or status changes at all), I hope all those with less than exciting statuses still keep the faith. And since my theory would mean that <em>some</em> of the statuses must mean good news–I welcome every hopeful post that comes along.</p>

<p>Madbean - I completely agree with your “readiness state” and “different schools” theory. So far, almost every single applicant in the SCA thread has said that they have the “received fall grades” status (except for the ones who have been admitted with scholarship consideration). SCA applicants send hard copies of their supplements (even though they apply online) and multiple people look at the supplements. Part of my file was missing on the Document Management System but when I emailed SCA, they said they had all of it. A lot of other SCA applicants have been saying the same things. So I think you’re right with the readiness state theory.</p>

<p>I agree with what you said as well. My status has remained unchanged from the beginning. It has always been “being reviewed”. I, unfortunately applied Undeclared (with a declared 2nd major, mistakenly thinking I would be considered for both–which I am apparently not). I think my application will probably be the last one processed because it does not need a secondary school to look at it. I believe they would have no choice but to process the applications first that need to be forwarded to the different schools. That makes sense to me. That could stall my application from even being looked at until the bitter end. Which could be why mine is still listed as “being reviewed”. That is alright though, because whatever is meant to be, is meant to be.</p>

<p>I think if your status starts with a “Y,” it means “Yes, you’re in.”</p>

<p>XD</p>

<p>I have a new status change theory.</p>

<p>I think “forwarded” means “your application has been reviewed by the school you applied to.” That would explain why some posters have been “forwarded” for a month while other just got it this week. I’ve noticed that a lot of the ones that got it this week were from portfolio-based schools (for example everyone in the SCA thread is being changed to forwarded all of a sudden, I noticed an Architecture applicant got it too). There was one posted who applied to CLAS and hasn’t gotten a status update from “fall grades” but that makes sense because there wouldn’t be another school to review his app. </p>

<p>Anyone else think that makes sense?</p>

<p>Dream…that could be, although I applied 1st as undeclared, my 2nd major was Roski and I submitted a portfolio to them. I changed to forwarded on the 15th. That way my theory on the other thread.</p>

<p>Oops, I think I accidentally skipped over yours. Sorry! XD</p>

<p>Dream…fine minds think alike. lol</p>

<p>so do the rsvp/deposit boxes appear before you receive your acceptance packet or after?</p>

<p>dream i think yours makes sense for the most part, everyone who has gotten their status changed seems to be majoring in/applying to the same school so it is probably reviewed by the same people? There may be a few exceptions but this seems feasible</p>

<p>if your status changes to forwarded (which mine has yet to do) and does not change to “review” before the next batch go out… does that mean they chose to reject you? i know we all like to be optimistic here but i’m thinking if forwarded means = we are now looking at your stuff and review means = we have accepted you, then wouldn’t someone who got their status changed to forwarded like this weekend and did not get review by friday/saturday get rejected?</p>

<p>@jackdaniels</p>

<p>i was actually thinking about that but I would guess you’re not rejected if you do not go out during this batch…like everyone says on here still some time…however if your status changes from forwarded to being reviewed sometime around april 1 ± some days then i would think you are rejected…</p>

<p>if your status goes from “forwarded” to “acted upon” then it’s a rejection.</p>

<p>really? how did you figure that out?</p>

<p>That’s my “educated guess.” The “being reviewed” status always occurs on the same date that the applicant’s acceptance is postmarked.</p>

<p>yeah it does seem to make sense. I think someone mentioned the possibility you could remained forwarded and then be changed to under review but during the end of the month. Of course the lateness of the change would imply rejection.</p>