^ Agree.
One small but interesting statistic: our school had 79 students apply to Michigan ED. only 19 of them were initially admitted. Since then only 6 more have been admitted and one rejected . Our schools college counselor said that they have never experienced anything like this before. Last year 74 student applied ED and 57 had heard by the first week in March ( with a few rejections) The year prior was similar.
One other anecdote. My daughter who was admitted ED went to Campus Day and a large number of admitted students had this experience ( as did my D) : they felt sort of " guilty" about their admission because so many of their classmates with higher stats were deferred.
@Jara123 So, that means can we still hope? Or has the bar for admits been raised heavily this year?
If that is from OOS, I am not surprised to see much less admission this year due to the increased applicant pool size and the decrease in admission spots in EA/RD this year.
Does anyone know if CoE has sent out any rejections as of yet?
@billcsho There is a decrease in admission spots for RD or ED or both?
does anyone know anyone who’s been accepted for summer term
@michaelite There must be less EA admission this year as many qualified students in state and OOS got deferred. They also explicitly said they would admit less this year to avoid over enrollment. They will make use of the waitlist to fill the remaining spots this year as they could not really estimate the yield rate accurately. Over the past few years, they were expecting ~40% yield. Last year, the yield went up to 42%. So this year they would have to admit less than 15000 (perhaps even <14000) to avoid over enrollment, down from ~16,000.
One other thing the schools counselor told us. Her prior years admission average ACT at this point was a 33. The same was true the year before. This year it’s a 31. She said in prior years she had no kids with 35s deferred. This year she has 6. She also said the weighted GPA average of so far admitted students was MUCH lower than in the past ( about a 4.1… Last year 4.4). Thus she said reflects that admission was much more common so far among " regular" class students than honors/AP kids. She recognizes small numbers to work with but has been struck by how many lower stat kids were admitted EA vs prior years. She said when people first started reporting back she actually wondered if there was a computer glitch and the admitted students were going to get an oops e mail.
And yes @bilscho. This is OOS
@Jara123 I hope UMich is not getting Tufts syndrome. Perhaps they noticed the yield rate from high stat OOS students to be particularly low in the past.
I’m just a little disappointed at this whole process, because I applied in the middle of October and still have not heard back… I wish I were at least informed of my decision, whether it is a rejection or waitlist (or acceptance). If it’s true what some of the previous posts here are suggesting, then most of the remaining decisions are going to be rejections or waitlists (although I’m not sure if this is actually true). I just want to know… 
Tufts syndrome is the only reasonable explanation for this whole fiasco.
@HopelReallyGetin At any time, most of the remaining notice would be rejection/waitlist since the admission rate is going to be at 30% or less and they mostly release the admission notice first. So from the beginning, ~70% of the remaining (all) notice would be rejection/waitlist. After rounds of release mostly for admission, the remaining notices would have an even larger fraction for rejection/waitlist. In other words, most of the remaining decisions are definitely going to be rejection/waitlist.
@billcsho I see. I hope I get a rejection/waitlist soon so I can just move on, though. I’ve been waiting for too long… 
I wonder if @billcsho’s prediction would be accurate this point. It makes sense, but also it seems absurd that they already picked up most of its students within three batches. Are those batches large enough to fill in 15000 seats remaining? I personally think that it may not be true. They are more careful about their decisions this year, due to the over-enrollment. But it does not mean that they rapidly filled up their spots already. If then, why do they hold on till next Friday or even next April to release their decisions on most of the people? IF they picked up most of the students, then they could just release them as soon as possible.
Here is what I think. Their ways of admission has been changed obviously. Rather than releasing a few large batches to pick up students, they would release small batches with individualized decisions until they fill up sufficient amount of their goal (which at this point no one actually knows). It would go on until April to pick up students and to monitor to see if those who are going to attend top schools such as Harvard, Yale, and Princeton would enroll or not. Their pace of admission must have been slow this year due to large applicant pool and their watchful eyes on preventing over enrollment. So I would say people still have possibility to get in, since they are not hesitantly picking people up within several batches. Even when I monitor facebook page’s numbers of people who are in, it was something like 5000~6000, which could be seen as somewhat close to how many they release for acceptance. Of course they would reject or waitlist most of its applicants, but I do not think that they would just release it at once. This year is different from last year. I know this is frustrating to wait, but we still have hope. Do not give up, but also have some plan Bs. Because I could be wrong too.
@JK0919 Why do you think the Facebook count would indicate the total of admission announced? My guess is only half of the admissions actually responded on FB. From the past experience, they did announce large batch of rejection/waitlist later on. It was on 3/28 last year when they did that. Also, they don’t have 15000 seats to fill. They are trying to fill 6200 seats with an estimated yield rate around 40%. It seems they are accepting students that are more likely to attend while keeping the very high stat students waiting. So the yield rate may be even higher that they may accept even less than the initial 14000-15000 estimate in EA/RD combined. For sure it is not time to give up get and there will be more admissions coming out. So don’t pay the deposit at other school yet, but also don’t put much hope on UMich. From the information collected, there will be much smaller batches of admissions to be release over the next 2 weeks. Even you end up on the waitlist, do not give up yet as they will admit more students from the WL this year.
OOS here…
All students admitted to UMich so far from son’s HS have stats lower than his. He was deferred EA. If he had received as positive response by now, UMich would definitely have been in the running… not anymore. If what @Jara123 is reporting is widespread (seems true for son’s school as well), then some elaborate strategy must be at work here to ensure that (the mid 50%) admitted student stats don’t show a dip.
If UM has determined that in the past, that ultra high stats applicants are not enrolling, but rather going to Ivies and near Ivies, what is wrong with UM focusing more on the strong applicants that also express high demonstrated interest? Since Common App there have been many students just collecting acceptance decisions like trophies. I think Michigan is just flipping the script. For those still waiting that really want to attend, remain patient. You will get in.
@umsigmadom At campus day they said the 50th percent for admitted students so far was a 30 ACT. since that would put a student in the 25 th % last year that would indicate that upcoming admissions are going to be mostly high stat students. . Otherwise Michigan would see a significant dip in middle 50% range.
@Jara123 , my DD attended Campus Day on March 16, and she heard the same stat. I agree and that’s why I say they are making the high stat students wait to see if they really want to attend. They are confident that enough of these students will wait and then enroll, thus bringing up the mid 50% range.