Vermont - In
Rochester - likely
Denison - In
Colorado - likely - make sure you know they have the block terms - so one class at a time.
Middlebury - likely if ED
Colby 50/50
Colgate 50/50
Lehigh - In
So that’s a good list
You seem to like the LACs - so let me throw out Washington & Lee, Bowdoin, Lewis & Clark, Davidson, Reed, Whitman, App State, UNC Asheville, Arkansas (ok, it’s big football - but has the hiking chops), and Bates. Sewanee is another but does have a religious bent although I don’t know how much - you’d have to look).
She’d be in at all I listed except maybe Bowdoin.
I think Lehigh doesn’t fit for her, btw - in what she’s looking for. Big greek.
The awards don’t matter and Honor Societies definitely don’t matter unless you can show activity - and explain it in breadth and leadership. In other words, you get in based on grades so that’s not adding value. If you are a leader, if it’s an active group that is doing stuff, that’s different.
If you want more affordable options, then you want to look at the following - but they’re going to be football schools. Well W&L (Johnson Scholar) - which I have listed above - that’s a freebie.
For affordability, my son goes to Alabama and hikes a lot. Arizona/Arizona state both have solid merit with Arizona’s being amazing. Both have strong Honors Colleges (to make the school smaller). ASUs is more well known. U of SC has arguably the nation’s top honors college and hiking isn’t far off. So lots of merit at these schools. Arkansas as well.
UVM has merit - but not as much. Florida State - she’d get an out of state tuition waiver so that’d be good. And she’d be competitive for an out of state waiver and Honors College at Georgia.
If you apply to schools “beneath” her level, that’s where you find the aid. So a Dickinson, Franklin & Marshall, Muhlenberg, etc. They won’t be cheap but they will be “cheaper”. Or you can go way off beat for hiking -like a Montana State.
Many of the schools you are looking at - Mid, Colgate, etc. don’t have merit aid - so those will cost you more. You have to decide - pedigree - or savings. That’s why the public Honors programs are so popular.
Good luck.