Coronavirus in the US

US Senate passes biggest rescue deal of its kind country’s history
Lauren Gambino, Guardian

US Senate passes historic $2tn relief package as coronavirus devastates economy
The US Senate has passed a $2.2tn emergency relief package as the coronavirus pandemic devastates the economy, marking the biggest rescue deal of its kind in US history.

“This is a strange and evil disease,” said the Senate minority leader, Chuck Schumer ahead of the vote. “When we pass this bill, instead of hugging each other, we’ll wave from a distance.”

The bill would provide up to $1,200 in direct relief for American adults, create a $500bn lending program for businesses, cities and states and $367bn fund for small businesses. The plan also provides $130bn to hospitals, and expands unemployment insurance.

Senators overwhelmingly voted to pass the legislation, approving it 96-0.

The House is expected to vote on the bill on Friday. “We are working to ensure that those who are unable to return to Washington will be able to express their views on this legislation remotely,” said the House leader Steny Hoyer in a statement.

Lawmakers scrambled on Wednesday to smooth over snags as they rushed to pass the legislation, which provides direct payments to American families, and loans and grants to businesses. A last-minute amendment, from Republican senators who complained that the bill would incentivize workers to collect unemployment payments rather than take a job, failed.

After casting her vote Elizabeth Warren, a Democrat of Massachusetts, said: “This is not the bill I wanted, but its immediate investments are vital.” “They are also insufficient,” she added. “We will need to do more – and soon.”

McConnell similarly reflected on the compromises that Republicans and Democrats made to arrive at the deal. “It’s been a long, hard road, with a remarkable number of twists and turns,” he said. “But for the sake of millions of Americans, it will be worth it. It will be worth it to get help to millions of small businesses and save tens of millions of jobs.”

CNN’s take:

The US Senate has passed a $2 trillion stimulus bill in response to the coronavirus pandemic

The Senate has just approved a historic, $2 trillion stimulus package in response to the coronavirus pandemic, with a final vote of 96 to zero in favor of the bill.

Why this matters: The legislation represents the largest emergency aid package in US history and the most significant legislative action taken to address the rapidly intensifying coronavirus crisis, which is overwhelming hospitals and grinding much of the economy to a halt.

What comes next: The package will next go to the House for a vote. The House will convene Friday morning to consider the bill, and the plan is to pass the bill by voice vote. President Donald Trump has indicated he will sign the measure.

What’s in the bill: Key elements of the proposal are $250 billion set aside for direct payments to individuals and families, $350 billion in small business loans, $250 billion in unemployment insurance benefits and $500 billion in loans for distressed companies.

The bill would also provide a major amount of funding for hard-hit hospitals – $130 billion – and $150 billion for state and local governments that are cash-strapped due to their response to coronavirus.

It also has a provision that would block Trump and his family, as well as other top government officials and members of Congress, from getting loans or investments from Treasury programs in the stimulus, according to Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s office.

I am curious, so my D19 filed tax last year and she made around 5K, would she get a check? I don’t think she should but I wonder.

Was she a dependent on your tax return?

Oh yes she was!

Fauci sees signs of the virus becoming cyclical, like the flu.

Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said Wednesday that he was seeing indications that the virus could keep returning as a “seasonal, cyclic thing,” like the flu.

One of the key questions about the virus has been whether its spread would slow or stop in warm weather and return in cold weather, and Dr. Fauci suggested that it may follow that seasonal pattern.

“What we are starting to see now in the southern hemisphere,” he said, referring specifically to southern Africa, “is that we are having cases that are appearing as they go into their winter season. And if, in fact, they have a substantial outbreak, it will be inevitable that we need to be prepared that we will get a cycle around the second time.”

That makes it all the more important that scientists “have a vaccine available for that next cycle,” as well as “a menu of drugs that we have shown to be effective and shown to be safe,” he said.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/25/world/coronavirus-news-live.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage#link-67e197dc

WHO Press Briefing (from Worldometers)

"We understand that countries are trying to assess when and how they will be able to ease these measures.

The answer depends on what countries do while these population-wide measures are in place.

Asking people to stay at home and shutting down population movement is buying time and reducing the pressure on health systems, but on their own, these measures will not extinguish the epidemics.

The point of these actions is to enable the more precise and targeted measures that are needed to stop transmission and save lives. We call on all countries that have introduced so-called “lockdown” measures to use this time to attack the virus. You have created a second window of opportunity. The question is: how will you use it? There are 6 key actions that we recommend:

  1. expand, train, and deploy your health care and public health workforce
  2. implement a system to find every suspected case at the community level
  3. ramp up production capacity and availability of testing
  4. identify, adapt, and equip facilities you will use to treat patients
  5. develop a clear plan and process to quarantine contacts
  6. refocus the whole of government on suppressing and controlling COVID-19

These measures are the best way to suppress and stop transmission so that when restrictions are lifted, the virus doesn’t resurge.

The last thing any country needs is to reopen schools and businesses only to be forced to close them again because of a resurgence"

Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General of WHO, March 25, 2020

[ We are ramping up testing but it is still inadequate right now. Even if tested, reports indicate waits as long a 8-10 days in some areas. We lack the appropriate PPE. Hopefully both of these will get resolved soon. Still need ventilators. Still need beds. Definitely need more staff as many are already infected and there is a shortage already as well. Aside from those things - we need to isolate cases like Asian countries do - both while sick/positive and in recovery (which includes enforcement) - and we need much better contact tracing as testing ramps up. That is a lot to work on. ]

Yes, it is headed in the right direction, for sure. It is frustrating being stuck at home and having life so different now for us and so many others when I think that had we handled this much better we would likely have a small, controlled outbreak and most of the country would be far less impacted. I am glad people for the most part are taking it seriously now and a lot more actions is happening.

Sounds like WHO is trying to correct what Trump said.

Pakistan’s prime minister is under increasing pressure to impose a lockdown
From CNN’s Sophia Saifi in Islamabad

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan has consistently rejected calls for a nationwide lockdown, claiming that an all-out closure of businesses would affect the “25% of the population that lives below the poverty line,” the country’s daily wage earners who Khan said would lose their incomes in a heartbeat.

But for all intents and purposes, a lockdown is what seems to be in place in Pakistan:

All international and domestic flights have been suspended
Trains are not running
Highway journeys between provinces are banned

Military steps in: While Khan’s government deals with growing criticism for not shutting down the country soon enough, the hugely popular military has been lauded for stepping in and announcing measures including the suspension of public transport and timed closure of gas stations. Troops have been deployed in all major cities to enforce these measures.

Rising caseload: According to figures released by the country’s Ministry of Health, the number of patients diagnosed with coronavirus in Pakistan crossed 1,000 yesterday. Ten days ago that number was at 53. At least seven people are also confirmed dead. All major phone networks have changed their call tunes to messages asking people to wash their hands and state TV has messages in regional languages explaining the importance of social distancing.

Mosques stay open: One of the largest clusters of the virus sprung up in the outskirts of the capital Islamabad, where a large congregation of preachers met, disregarding the government’s requests for three or more people not to gather in a public space.

Medical equipment lacking: Public health specialist Dr. Arshad Altaf told CNN that there are roughly fewer than 3,000 ventilators available in the country, and while China has provided aid worth $4 million to Pakistan, alongside medical face masks and ventilators, this is still not enough to deal with the exponential growth of the virus. Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority, which is connected to the military, has taken over the reins in dealing with the crisis and Altaf welcomed the move. “There has to be a multi-pronged effort, the government cannot deal with this alone,” he said.

I have some more information on the legislation (which passed). It was NOT a drafting error to include (in some cases) more pay than the unemployed persons salary (for 4 months) it was because of the complexity of trying to implement pay specific payments across all states:

"The Senate rejected an attempt by four Republican senators to change boosted unemployment benefits included in a mammoth coronavirus stimulus package.

The unemployment provision includes four months of bolstered unemployment benefits, including increasing the maximum unemployment benefit by $600 for four months.

Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) warned that they were told by the Department of Labor that implementing a state-by-state cap that met previous wages was not feasible given the different unemployment systems used across the country.

“The way you want to calculate it, we’re told cannot be done,” Durbin said.

A Senate GOP aide also pushed back against the four senators, underscoring the divisions within the caucus, saying that “nothing in this bill incentivizes businesses to lay off employees; in fact, it’s just the opposite.”

“Each state has a different UI program, so the drafters opted for a temporary across-the-board UI boost of $600, which can deliver needed aid in a timely manner rather than burning time to create a different administrative regime for each state,” the aide said. “It’s also important to remember that nobody who voluntarily leaves an available job is eligible for UI.”

I think it means you are very vulnerable to dying of coronavirus if you have hypertension well-controlled by drugs. People with hypertension don’t drop dead the minute they stop taking their hypertension meds.

Indonesia could have thousands of hidden coronavirus cases, study says

The country already has the most deaths in south-east Asia, but research suggests the official 800 infections so far may only be 2% of the total

It was just last month that Indonesia’s coronavirus cases stood at zero, with officials fiercely rejecting suggestions that infections were spreading undetected.

Weeks later, 58 fatalities have now been linked to the virus, the highest number in south-east Asia. Seven health workers are among those who have died.

While confirmed case have risen to almost 800, researchers have estimated that there could be tens of thousands of hidden infections across the country, and there is growing concern that medical facilities will be unable to cope in the event of a major outbreak.

Over the past week, two major hospitals have appealed for supplies, while some healthworkers threatened to go on strike after they were forced to wear raincoats for protection. As of Monday, as many as 42 medical staff were infected with coronavirus in Jakarta.

“I just pray and have faith so that I can stop worrying, even though sometimes that feeling (of worry) appears again,” Agnes Tri Harjaningrum, a paediatrician who works in state and private hospitals in the capital, told the Guardian. She fears the country could face a crisis similar to that experienced in Italy.

Donations of protective equipment and testing kits arrived from China on Monday morning, but by Tuesday night shortages remained in some of Jakarta’s hospital wards. Equipment is being prioritised for doctors who are directly handling patients, she said.

Indonesia, the world’s fourth most populous country, was slow to carry out tests, having reportedly performed only a few hundred earlier this month. While cases were detected throughout February in most countries across south-east Asia, it was not until 2 March that the country of 264 million people confirmed its first infections. A study by Harvard University, which analysed air traffic from Wuhan, the Chinese city where the outbreak began, had raised questions over the country’s previous lack of cases. The health minister responded at the time by describing the analysis as “insulting” and stating the country was on high alert.

The president has since acknowleged the need for mass testing, which is being ramped up in priority areas. So far 2,863 have been tested.

On Monday, it was estimated by academics at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine that as few as 2% of Indonesia’s coronavirus infections have been reported. That could mean there are more than 34,000 cases. This is higher than the roughly 27,000 recorded in Iran – though the researchers also estimate that Iran may be identifying as little as 7.2% of its patients.

The researchers emphasise that these are rough estimates based on preliminary analysis and it is not yet peer reviewed.

There are some limitiations to the estimates. How a country’s demographics might affect the death toll from Covid-19, for example, has not yet been factored into the study. “Severity [of covid] is highly correlated with age, which means we need to account for it for it to be more accurate,” said Dr Timothy Russell, the lead author. With a median age of 28, Indonesia’s population is younger than many other affected countries.

According to official figures, the capital Jakarta, home to 9.6 million people, is among the worst hit, with hundreds of cases, while dozens of infections have also appeared in Banten and West Java.

Cases appear to be scattering. In West Papua, the easternmost province of Indonesia, three cases have been confirmed while 35 people have been put under surveillance because they have symptoms including pneumonia and have had contact with a confirmed patient.

Access to quality health care is limited in the provinces, especially in highland areas, and health workers are currently assessing patients online because of equipment shortages.

Analysis by Reuters suggests that the country’s health system is significantly less well resourced than that of Italy or South Korea, which have both faced major outbreaks.

Indonesia has 321,544 hospital beds, according to health ministry data, which is equal to about 12 beds per 10,000 people. South Korea has 115 per 10,000 people, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).

In 2017, the WHO found Indonesia had four doctors per 10,000 people. Italy had 10 times more, on a per capita basis. South Korea has six times more doctors.

Indonesia is converting the athlete’s village built for the 2018 Asian Games into an emergency hospital, which it is hoped will be able to treat 24,000 patients.

Modelling by the Eijkman-Oxford Clinical Research Unit (EOCRU), reported by the Jakarta Post, has suggested that, without tough steps to contain the virus, there could be up to 71,000 infections by the end of April.

Jakarta’s governor has declared a state of emergency, and told businesses and religious groups to take measures to stop the spread of the virus. All tourism and entertainment venues have been closed, and public transport limited.

But while various lockdowns have been imposed in Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand, Indonesian president Joko Widodo has rejected calls for such measures. He has instead urged the public to stay at home and promised rapid testing. This is now being rolled out in three provinces, while 100,000 protective gears are also being distributed.

Zubairi Djoerban, head of the Indonesian Doctors Association coronavirus task force told the Guardian earlier this week that supplies will be distributed soon. “Private sector will help, businessmen will help.

“But in the field, please … the management must [match the] pandemic, meaning that it must be quickly-quickly-quickly-quickly.”

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2020/mar/26/indonesia-could-have-thousands-of-hidden-coronavirus-cases-study-says

How did Spain get its coronavirus response so wrong?

Spain saw what happened in Iran and Italy – and yet it just overtook China’s death toll in one of the darkest moments in recent Spanish history

It is one of the darkest and most dramatic moments in recent Spanish history. In the chilling table of daily dead from the coronavirus pandemic, Spain has taken top position from Italy - with 738 dying over 24 hours.

Spain is now the hotspot of the global pandemic, a ghoulish title that has been passed from country to country over four months – starting in Wuhan, China, and travelling via Iran and Italy. As it moves west, we do not know who will be next.

What went wrong? Spain had seen what happened in China and Iran. It also has Italy nearby, just 400 miles across the Mediterranean and an example of how the virus can spread rapidly and viciously inside Europe.

Yet Spaniards cannot blame that proximity. There are no land borders with Italy, while France, Switzerland, Austria and Slovenia – all countries that are doing much better – do have them.

This may, in fact, be one of the reasons for the country’s late response. Spain thought it was far enough away. “Spain will only have a handful of cases,” said Dr Fernando Simón, the head of medical emergencies in Madrid, on 9 February. Six weeks later he gives out daily figures of hundreds of deaths. The number of dead per capita is already three times that of Iran, and 40 times higher than China.

On 19 February, 2,500 Valencia soccer fans mixed with 40,000 Atalanta supporters for a Champions League game in Bergamo which Giorgio Gori, mayor of the Italian city, has described as “the bomb” which exploded the virus in Lombardy.

In Spain, Valencia players, fans and sports journalists were amongst the first to fall ill.

The main reason for the quick spread through Spain may be completely mundane. It has been an unusually mild, sunny Spring. In late February and early March, with temperatures above 20C (68F), Madrid’s pavement cafes and bars were heaving with happy folk, doing what Madrileños like best – being sociable. That means hugging, kissing and animated chatter just a few inches from someone else’s face.

On 8 March, just a week before the country was closed down, sports events, political party conferences and massive demonstrations to mark International Women’s Day all took place. Three days later, about 3,000 Atlético de Madrid fans flew together for another Champions League match in Liverpool.

The Socialist-led government of Pedro Sánchez reacted late and clumsily. The country lacked essential equipment. Ventilators, protective clothing for doctors and coronavirus tests are still only just being sourced. China has gone from villain to saviour, as equipment and tests pour in – much of it brokered by the same Chinese immigrant community that has closed shops and shut itself away to avoid a racist backlash.

The virus has laid bare, too, deep faults in the Spanish care system. Private old people’s homes must turn a profit while charging people prices they can afford – which may be a basic pension of just over 9,000 euros. As a result, these were understaffed, unprepared and quickly overwhelmed, with death rates of up to 20%. The army was sent in, and found some people lying dead in their beds.

Spain has a magnificent primary care system, but its hospitals have been hit by a decade of austerity since the financial crisis. It has only a third of the hospital beds per capita that are provided by Austria or Germany. Yet that is still more than the UK, New Zealand or the US.

When Sánchez announced that he would be invoking emergency powers, he took more than 24 hours to put them in place – by which time part of the population of Madrid and other cities had dispersed across the country.

Poor coordination meant that the regional government of Madrid had closed universities and schools earlier that week, provoking a holiday atmosphere in which bars and parks were full and many families left for their beach homes.

The lockdown that began on 14 March has been efficiently enforced with police fines and popular pressure (including eggs hurled from balconies). As a result, Spain’s ghastly curve of fatalities will begin to flatten soon and ministers say measures should start being relaxed when the month-long quarantine ends on 11 April. Yet no-one expects a return to normality.

When this is over, Spain will be extremely fragile. When the financial crisis hit in 2008, unemployment soared to 27%, public debt leapt upwards and the nosedive into recession was amongst the worst in Europe. Much the same will happen this year.

The solutions imposed a decade ago – austerity, jobs losses and salary cuts – will not be tolerated. The economist Toni Roldán has calculated that Spain needs a 200bn euro loan from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). That, however, must wait. For the moment, Spain must beat the virus. This has been the toughest moment so far, but there may be worse to come.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/26/spain-coronavirus-response-analysis

Here again is that analysis of US case increases by Nate Silver. The WHO warned this week that the country risks becoming the new centre of the pandemic.

Nate Silver
:heavy_check_mark:
@NateSilver538
· 5h
Increase over yesterday in detected coronavirus cases. Hopefully, grouping things by region helps even out disparities in testing rates.

South: +32%
Northeast (excluding NY): +30%
Midwest: +27%
West (excluding CA & WA): +23%
New York: +20%
California: +20%
Washington: +11%

Nate Silver
:heavy_check_mark:
@NateSilver538
These might not seem like big differences. But multiplied over days/weeks, they matter a lot:

30% = daily growth is quite bad; steepest part of exponential curve
20% = slope nudged downward but still exponential growth
10% = rather encouraging, may mean Ro<1 and spread slowing

via Guardian

California’s cases are doubling every few days. Officials warn San Francisco could reach New York levels
From CNN’s Sarah Moon and Jon Passantino in Los Angeles

The number of coronavirus cases in California is doubling every three to four days, the state’s top health official said.

“We originally thought that it would be doubling every six to seven days and we see cases doubling every three to four days,” Dr. Mark Ghaly, the secretary of California’s Health and Human Services Agency, said at a news conference Wednesday. "We’re watching that trend very, very closely.”

Last week, Gov. Gavin Newsom ordered most of the state’s nearly 40 million residents to stay at home to stop the virus from spreading further. However, public health experts say that it may take up to two weeks to see the results of such travel restrictions, as the virus’ incubation period ranges from one to 14 days.

Ghaly said authorities in California are anticipating a surge of cases and patients in a week or two.

A stark warning for San Francisco: Meanwhile, San Francisco Mayor London Breed warned Wednesday that if residents don’t heed orders to stay at home, the California city could see a surge in coronavirus cases.

“If people who are out on the streets continue to congregate with one another, continue to interact with one another, which increases the spread of this virus, we will not have enough beds, enough ICU units, enough ventilators to support the people that we know are going to need them,” Breed said.
The mayor estimated San Francisco would need at least 1,500 more ventilators and 5,000 extra hospital beds to meet a larger surge of patients.

“It is plausible that despite all these efforts we could have a scenario similar to the one that is playing out in New York this very day,” said San Francisco Director of Health Dr. Grant Colfax. “If that happens our capacity, our surge capacity will be far exceeded.”

Brazil’s governors are defying President Jair Bolsonaro over his call to reopen schools and businesses, dismissing his argument that the cure of widespread shutdowns to contain the spread of the coronavirus is worse than the disease, AP reports.

Bolsonaro contends that the clampdown already ordered by many governors will deeply wound the already beleaguered economy and spark social unrest. In a nationally televised address Tuesday night, he urged governors to limit isolation only to high-risk people and lift the strict anti-virus measures they have imposed in their regions.

“What needs to be done? Put the people to work. Preserve the elderly, preserve those who have health problems. But nothing more than that,” said Bolsonaro, who in the past has sparked anger by calling the virus a “little flu”.

The country’s governors protested on Wednesday that his instructions run counter to health experts’ recommendations and endanger Latin Americas largest population.

They said they would continue with their strict measures. The rebellion even included traditional allies of Brazil’s far-right president.

Gov. Carlos Moisés of Santa Catarina state, which gave almost 80% of its votes to Bolsonaro in the 2018 presidential runoff, complained he was blown away by the presidents instructions.

In a videoconference earlier in the day between Bolsonaro and governors from Brazil’s southeast region, Sao Paulo Gov. João Doria threatened to sue the federal government if it tried to interfere with his efforts to combat the virus.

The governors weren’t the only defiant ones. Virus plans challenged by Bolsonaro were upheld by the Supreme Court. The heads of both congressional houses criticized his televised speech. Companies donated supplies to state anti-virus efforts.

Bolsonaro told reporters in the capital, Brasilia, that he has listened to his US counterpart, Donald Trump, and found their perspectives to be rather similar.

Guardian

[ read the last bit ]

Trending hashtag #stayhomebands

These gave me a much needed laugh. :lol:

Flu Fighters

Depressed Mode

Purell Jam

Grateful We’re Not Dead

Ben Folds Laundry

Ben Folds Five Feet Away

Pandemic at the Disco

Panic at the Costco

Confined Young Cannibals

The Violent Phlegms

Fleetwood Mac & Cheese

Purell Williams

Billy Ray Virus

Billy Idle

Please Stop Going to the Beach Boys

The Cars…in the garage

Jane’s Restriction

Jane’s Netflix Addiction

Blue Oyster Quilt

Men At Work from Home

Rage Against the Washing Machine

The Red Hot Chili Preppers

The Red Hot Chill-at-home Peppers

Matchbox 20 second handwashing

Six Feet None The Closer

Pearl Jammies

Alice in Hanes

New World Hoarder

The W.H.O.

I hope it’s just a Coldplay

Men Out of Work

Miley Virus

No Kids on the Block

The Wuhan Clan

Notorious PPE

A/CDC

Linkin Park is Closed

Black Eyed Peas and other canned goods

Wheezer

The Not Allowed to Do Any Traveling Wilburys

One Infection

Creedence Clearwater Survival

Huey Lewis & the Endlessly Bad News

Amazon Primus

Motley Flu

Too Crowded House

Quarantina Turner

Frankie Doesn’t Go To Hollywood

A Tribe Called SeQuestered

Coughing Crows

The inDoors

CDC Soundsystem

Green Day Drinking

Quiet Riot Over Toilet Paper

Metallican’t Leave My House

Herman’s Hermits

Social Distancing Disorder

Russia grounds international flights

The Russian government has ordered the civil aviation authority to suspend all regular and charter flights to and from Russia from March 27, the government said on its website.

Russian airlines will still be allowed to fly to other countries to bring Russian citizens back or if they are authorised by special government decisions.

Russia has reported 658 Covid-19 cases and three deaths. (Guardian)

‘It’s all Covid’: New York medical staff brace for a surge of coronavirus patients
The governor has warned that efforts to slow the spread of the virus have so far failed; hospitals will no doubt be overwhelmed

Jessica Glenza

Frontline medical workers in New York are braced for a surge of patients unlike anything they have seen in their careers, with the state at the center of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.

New York City’s infamously bustling streets have almost emptied of pedestrians and cars, but inside its hospitals, emergency departments and critical care units are already busy with Covid-19 patients.

“We’re trying to expand the capacity in our intensive care unit, knowing we will continue to see a lot of critical cases,” said Erick Eiting, vice-chair of emergency medicine and professor at Mount Sinai Beth Israel, a 700-bed hospital in lower Manhattan. Eiting’s days are now filled by the pings of an app, which notifies doctors when a Covid-19 test comes back positive. He says it pings constantly.

Dr Craig Spencer, an emergency medicine doctor at Columbia University Medical Center, described hearing a “cacophony of coughing” in the facility. Nearly every patient he saw in a recent day had Covid-19.

Craig Spencer MD MPH
:heavy_check_mark:
@CraigASpencer
Replying to @CraigASpencer
Walk in for your 8am shift: Immediately struck by how the calm of the early morning city streets is immediately transformed. The bright fluorescent lights of the ER reflect off everyone’s protective goggles. There is a cacophony of coughing. You stop. Mask up. Walk in.

“I certainly have not seen anything like this so far in my career,” said Dr Daniel Fein, a respiratory specialist at Montefiore Medical Center. “This seems like certainly an exceptional circumstance for doctors and everyone else in our global community.”

Forecasters warn the greatest surge of patients is yet to come. Governor Andrew Cuomo has said efforts to “flatten the curve”, or slow the spread of Covid-19 so hospitals are not overwhelmed, may be having an impact, though cases continue to increase at a quicker rate than previously forecast.

New York officials expect 140,000 hospital beds will be needed to deal with the pandemic, 30,000 more than predictions a few days earlier. New York state had about 53,000 hospital beds at the beginning of the pandemic.

New York authorities are preparing to open field facilities, including a 1,000-bed hospital inside New York’s Jacob Javits Convention Center. Primary care doctors are directing patients with lacerations and broken bones to private practices to relieve “gridlock” in hospitals.

Craig Spencer MD MPH
:heavy_check_mark:
@CraigASpencer
Replying to @CraigASpencer
Nearly everyone you see today is the same. We assume everyone is #COVIDー19. We wear gowns, goggles, and masks at every encounter. All day. It’s the only way to be safe. Where did all the heart attacks and appendicitis patients go? Its all COVID.

Craig Spencer MD MPH
:heavy_check_mark:
@CraigASpencer
· Mar 24, 2020
Replying to @CraigASpencer
You take signout from the previous team, but nearly every patient is the same, young & old:

Cough, shortness of breath, fever.

They are really worried about one patient. Very short of breath, on the maximum amount of oxygen we can give, but still breathing fast.

Craig Spencer MD MPH
:heavy_check_mark:
@CraigASpencer
You immediately assess this patient. It’s clear what this is, and what needs to happen. You have a long and honest discussion with the patient and family over the phone. It’s best to put her on life support now, before things get much worse. You’re getting set up for that, but…

Craig Spencer MD MPH
:heavy_check_mark:
@CraigASpencer
· Mar 24, 2020
Replying to @CraigASpencer
You’re notified of another really sick patient coming in. You rush over. They’re also extremely sick, vomiting. They need to be put on life support as well. You bring them back. Two patients, in rooms right next to each other, both getting a breathing tube. It’s not even 10am yet

Craig Spencer MD MPH
:heavy_check_mark:
@CraigASpencer
For the rest of your shift, nearly every hour, you get paged:

Stat notification: Very sick patient, short of breath, fever. Oxygen 88%.

Stat notification: Low blood pressure, short of breath, low oxygen.

Stat notification: Low oxygen, can’t breath. Fever.

All day…

“The anxiety and stress that I think all of us in society are feeling right now — we are feeling it all the more so in the hospital,” said Dr Joseph Habboush, an emergency room doctor at New York University Langone Medical Center told the Associated Press this week. “How can we deal with the idea that this is going to be worse and worse before it gets better?”

Meanwhile, a global shortage of protective equipment including N95 respirator masks, and lack of ventilators has led to “palpable anxiety” in the emergency department, Eiting said.

Cuomo promised to “turn this state upside down,” to find needed staff, equipment and capacity, and said he is exploring whether hotels and dormitories can be turned into makeshift hospitals. He also called on retired healthcare workers to volunteer as a “surge health force” to staff those beds, and has even said New York hospitals will experiment with trying to use one ventilator for every two patients in need.

“If you walk around here, you don’t have a sense of a medical health crisis taking place,” said Dr Mary O’Brien, a primary care doctor at Columbia University. O’Brien has worked in New York City for 35 years, including in emergency medicine for 10 years. She, along with thousands of others, has volunteered to be part of that “surge health force”. In her Manhattan neighborhood, foot traffic in “streets and the number of cars – and everything has plummeted”.

However, inside hospitals, her colleagues have reported “chaos”, she said.

“In general, the hospitals in New York City run close to capacity,” under normal circumstances, she said. “Most of them are close to 90% capacity, especially for the critical care units,” she said. That makes the additional Covid-19 cases a “huge influx”.

Her work has now turned to telemedicine, including counseling patients who might otherwise go to the emergency department to go to private practices. For a patient in need of stitches, she asks a hand surgeon to stitch them up.

“If someone falls and it looks like they have a fracture, I will contract orthopedics in private practice and have them seen there, and we can relieve the gridlock,” she said. “The triage part of it is really important.”

Above all, doctors stressed the need for the public to continue physical distancing to protect healthcare workers and supplies.

“We’ve seen plenty of young patients who came in and are critically ill,” said Eiting, as well as other patients whose symptoms are atypical. “We’ve had plenty of [Covid-19] patients who have come in with abdominal pain or nausea, vomiting and diarrhea – and those are their only symptoms.”

Patients with few and mild symptoms have tested positive. Critically ill patients have tested positive. Every patient, Eiting said, is treated with some degree of caution in case they, too, are positive.

“The most important piece is people really need to take the recommendations to stay home and self-isolate very seriously,” said Eiting. “Much more seriously than we’ve been taking them.”

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/25/its-all-covid-new-york-medical-staff-brace-for-a-surge-of-coronavirus-patients

LA Mayor Garcetti says city to receive $1.1 billion for airport, metro system

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti on Wednesday said the federal government’s COVID-19 stimulus package will give the city receive $400 million for its airport and $700 million for its metro system. The package will also provide Los Angeles with “tens of millions” in community development block grants to aid the worst off, like seniors and unemployed, Garcetti said.

Los Angeles will also receive $32 million in emergency solution grants to help house the homeless. “I call this an economic survival bill because while it’s not enough, it maybe will ensure that some folks will be able to get through the next month or two,” Garcetti said.

Garcetti also said that Los Angeles will not shut off water or power or impose any late fees for those bills during this time. Additionally, he said that the city will relax enforcement of parking tickets and that Los Angeles Police Department will not give tickets to any individuals driving with expired drivers licenses. “Everyone of these changes is about the same principle — that you are safer at home,” Garcetti said. (CNBC)

@“Cardinal Fang” , I can’t find the post you are quoting, but I think this refers to a potentially serious issue for people who are taking either an ACE inhibitor or ARB drug - these are generally thought of as treatments for high blood pressure but are also prescribed for heart failure. As I understand the science, the COVID-19 enters cells using an ACE-11 receptor, and people who take these medications produce more ACE-11 receptors than others, possibly making them more susceptible to the virus. There was an article in Lancet about this: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30116-8/fulltext Medical experts are reluctant to say that people should stop taking these medications, as the concern is theoretical and there is no empiric proof and, obviously, these drugs are important for the people who take them. But I think the analysis may be different from person to person, so people should be aware of this and may wish to consult with their doctors.

Trump administration cut CDC China staff

Reuters news agency is reporting that the administration of US President Donald Trump cut the staff of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) working in China by two-thirds in the two years before the coronavirus emerged.

Most of the reductions were at the Beijing office. The CDC’s headcount in China has dropped from about 47 when Trump took office in January 2017 to about 14 now, Reuters said. (Al Jazeera)

Three cruise ships off the coast of Western Australia have been refused permission to dock
From CNN’s Hilary Whiteman in Brisbane

Three cruise ships off the coast of Western Australia have been told that under no circumstances will they be allowed to dock.

The Artania is carrying 800 passengers, mostly Germans, seven of whom have the coronavirus.

“The Artania cruise ship must continue on its journey to South Africa urgently. This ship needs to leave immediately,” Western Australian Premier Mark McGowan told reporters Thursday. He said if the seven passengers needed urgent medical assistance they should be sent to an Australian Defence Force base, then flown home to Germany. “We are working with the Australian government to do this immediately,” he said.

The MSC Magnifica has refueled in Fremantle and remains in waters off the coast of Western Australia. It had been planning to end its voyage in Dubai, and was at sea when its operator, MSC Cruises, temporarily halted its fleet.

MSC Cruises told CNN on March 23 that no passengers were ill. “Nobody on board – passengers or crew – has fever, signs of respiratory insufficiency or gastroenteric diseases,” it said in a statement.

The Vasco da Gama is carrying around 800 Australians, including 200 Western Australians, 109 New Zealanders, and 33 UK citizens and other foreigners, according to the WA government. It had been due to dock in Fremantle on Friday but has been requested to postpone its arrival until Monday to allow for the preparation of temporary accommodation on Rottnest Island.

The island, a protected nature reserve, will be used to house Western Australians onboard the ship for their 14-day quarantine period. Others onboard must remain on the ship until provisions are made to send them straight home.

No repeat: The Western Australian government is trying to avoid the scenario that played out in Sydney on March 19, when more than 2,600 passengers were allowed to leave the Ruby Princess cruise ship. Since then, 121 passengers have been confirmed to have Covid-19, according to the New South Wales Health Department.

“We are not going to have a Sydney Harbor fiasco on our watch,” McGowan said.

Fact Check: The US has done more coronavirus tests than South Korea, but not per person

CNN

President Donald Trump claimed today the US had done more coronavirus testing than any other nation, after receiving domestic criticism over the rate of testing.

“In fact, over an eight day span, the United States now does more testing than what South Korea (which has been a very successful tester) does over an eight week span,” Trump tweeted.

Fact check: While the US has overtaken South Korea in total numbers of coronavirus tests administered, it has conducted far fewer tests per capita, given the US population is more than six times larger than South Korea’s.

“Yes, it is true that South Korea has run less tests as an absolute number. However, it is important to point out the huge difference in the population sizes,” Aubree Gordon, associate professor of epidemiology at the University of Michigan, told CNN.

South Korea has a population of 51 million, and has conducted 357,896 tests so far, according to government figures. That means one in every 142 South Koreans have been tested.

The US has a population of 329 million and has conducted 418,810 tests so far, according to the Covid Tracking Project. That means one in every 785 Americans have been tested.

Travelers entering South Korea must download a self-quarantine app
From CNN’s Jake Kwon in Seoul

Travelers from the US and Europe entering South Korea will now be required to download a government self-quarantine smartphone app, according to the country’s Central Disaster Relief Headquarters.

The app will remind users to check their symptoms every day, and will monitor their location to confirm they are following the quarantine order.

Those violating quarantine without a proper reason will be immediately reported to the authorities, and deported if they are foreign citizens. Police will immediately respond to the site when a person leaves their quarantine without authorization.

Violating quarantine is punishable by up to one year in prison or a fine of up to 10 million won ($8,150).