@replyback …I can not find the update…Please post the link.
What is Texas update cutoff?
@replyback I think you’re misreading the chart – which has CA at 209-13 – and it’s the old ‘sliding-scale’ chart anyway. You looked in the right column & assumed it was for this year.
@replyback That link you posted is not new -that is the original list. I don’t see an update yet.
@replyback…that date is in January…I don’t see a updated post.
@thshadow, I do not know if this is THE update or not for sure, do not know when they had CA updated to 222 and if if the comment came AFTER the table said CA 222 for example. I am hoping there is an update to this to bring it lower!
On Test Masters –
What PSAT Scores Make the Cut for National Merit in 2016?
Posted on January 7, 2016 by Bill
Link: http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/sat-act-tests-test-preparation/1849640-national-merit-cutoff-predictions-class-of-2017.html#latest
UPDATE: Many commenters have asked about College Board’s Concordance Table. You can find an estimation that incorporates the Concordance Table here.
Now that PSAT scores have been received, the question that most people want answered revolves around the cutoff scores for National Merit Semifinalist standing. In other words: What is the minimum score that will qualify me to be a National Merit Semifinalist? This is certainly an immensely significant cutoff, mainly due to the benefits and scholarships that come with being a National Merit Scholar. The 16,000 National Merit Semifinalists from the class of 2017 will be notified sometime in September. As you eagerly await this announcement, here is some context for determining how close your score might be to the cutoff (and which side of it you may find yourself). These are the qualifying scores for each state from the past several years (note that each state is different):
(NOTE: The National Merit Scholarship Corporation will use your PSAT Selection Index Scores to determine your National Merit Semifinalist eligibility, NOT your PSAT Score. Learn more about this here! This is reflected in the estimated score ranges listed below. )
EDIT: Many people are asking why the estimated cutoff scores are lower than previous cutoff scores, and the answer is that the PSAT has changed. You can learn more about this here. Because the test has changed, previous years’ scores will not be particularly useful to you in making estimates regarding potential cutoff scores, but have been provided for context.
REVISED AND POSTED FEB 3, 2016:. compare to these:
State Estimated Cutoff for Class of 2017 (PSAT taken in Oct 2015) Class of 2016 (PSAT taken in Oct 2014) Class of 2015 (PSAT taken in Oct 2013)
Alabama 195-199 209 207
Alaska 192-196 206 210
Arizona 201-205 215 213
Arkansas 190-194 204 206
California 209-213 223 222
Colorado 201-205 215 213
Conn. 206-210 220 220
Delaware 202-206 216 215
DC 211-215 225 224
Florida 200-204 214 211
Georgia 204-208 218 215
Hawaii 200-204 214 214
Idaho 194-198 208 211
Illinois 201-205 215 215
Indiana 199-203 213 212
Iowa 196-200 208 207
Kansas 199-203 213 213
Kentucky 196-200 210 210
Louisiana 197-201 211 208
Maine 197-201 211 212
Maryland 208-212 222 221
Mass. 209-213 223 223
Michigan 196-200 210 210
Minnesota 200-204 214 215
Miss. 195-199 209 207
Missouri 195-199 209 209
Montana 190-194 204 206
Nebraska 195-199 209 209
Nevada 197-201 211 208
New Hamp 199-203 213 212
New Jersey 211-215 225 224
New Mexico 194-198 208 210
New York 205-209 219 218
North Carolina 201-205 215 212
North Dakota188-192 202 201
Ohio 201-205 215 213
Oklahoma 194-198 208 206
Oregon 201-205 215 217
Pennsylvania 203-207 217 216
Rhode Island 198-202 212 212
South Carolina 197-201 211 209
South Dakota 188-192 202 203
Tennessee 198-202 212 212
Texas 206-210 220 218
Utah 192-196 206 208
Vermont 200-204 214 213
Virginia 208-212 222 219
Washington 205-209 219 219
West Virginia 188-192 202 201
Wisconsin 194-198 208 208
Wyoming 188-192 202 204
"What do I make of these?
If you are a junior, these past cutoff scores can be helpful in gauging your chances of becoming a National Merit Semifinalist. However, be careful about drawing conclusions based solely on these, because the cutoffs can change unexpectedly from year to year."
@replyback - the link you gave is dated January 7th. There was an update January 8th that had a new chart. I do not see an updated chart since then.
@replyback that link is the Jan 7th projection. They then did the Jan 8th projection.
They updated the cut off estimates tonight - we know that - they have not really indicated today’s date or explained why but the cut off estimates are different from the previous list published.
@ca1543 where is the update? I don’t see California 222 - The california 222 show above is labeled "Class of 2015 (taken Oct 2013). What numbers do you see updated? @replyback
I believe that the reference to an SI of 222 for California is actually a reference to the 2013 cutoff, not the projected cutoff for the class of 2017?
At 6:11pm Feb. 3rd, Michael on Toastmasters said: “Hi, we’re planning on releasing an update in the next day or so, but the gist of that is our projected cutoffs seem to be in the ballpark”
Michael says:
February 3, 2016 at 6:12 pm
Hi Pico! A 221 should be good for California, but given that this is an estimation, it’s no guarantee. However, with a 221, we feel like you have an excellent shot at semifinalist
Agree @picoLA I don’t think there is an update yet.
ALL, I am very sorry to give you all the scare, YOU ALL ARE RIGHT! I am looking at the OLD table! Thiis shows how much on the edge I have been! Not healthy! Sorry . And yes, appears there is HOPE YET! I will update what I find out from our school where the school is going to discuss PSAT score and what it means! Do not know how much info they will share, we already know what the scores mean…
On the Jan 8th link, in a comment this afternoon Bill says, “We have recently obtained a new data set, so we will be releasing one more estimated cutoff scores post soon, so you might check back in a week for more information.”
The HOPE for all us is this comment at testmaster website, as reported by @thshadow.
Michael says:
February 3, 2016 at 4:14 pm
Hi Dave, we’re posting another update tonight, and it seems to suggest that our projections are in the right ballpark, if not a bit too conservative.
@suzyQ7 7 – please see post 2485.
ok – the table was changed but Test Masters is not being clear in the headings or explanation. So let’s give it a little time & we’ll see.
@CA1543 - post 2485 - The chart is from Jan. 7th!! There was another chart posted on Jan. 8th.
Can someone please clarify for me - when Testmasters says their new projections will be on the “conservative” side, does this mean the scores they will post may be slightly lower than what will likely be announced in Sept? Or, slightly higher???
Higher