Like so much in admissions, submitting test scores falls within a “it depends” situation - as of now, many juniors have not taken the ACT and SAT and it is unknown if the tests will be made available this year. The College Board and ACT are big businesses and will continue to figure out a way to test students and remain relevant.
My thoughts (and I could be wrong and it won’t be the first time- just ask my kids!) is that if testing is available in the late summer/early Fall - colleges will continue to see applicants submit test scores. Even going test optional - it has never meant test optional outside of a very small number of applicants and was a policy designed to assist non-traditional college applicants, lower income and underrepresented students.
NYU received over 80,000 applications for undergrad each year - this is an extreme number - but how do you sort and have the time for a pure holistic review? Also, students from large public schools are at a disadvantage obtaining recommendations with counselors serving too many students and teachers have large class sizes - how can those recommendations really be true to the student and putting more weight on these when they will be so uneven across schools is difficult. Add to the fact that current Jr year spring grades will be all over the place with different policies.
Colleges place students in their Honors Programs, assign Merit Dollars, use test scored for admittance into specific schools (ie: Comp Sci) and also there is National Merit distinction - all currently designed to use test scores. All this would need to be reconfigured if colleges move away from testing and let in more students without test scores.
Also, colleges benefit by announcing they will be test optional - application numbers go up (already see how many people have mentioned maybe my child will now just apply to more competitive schools to see what happens), US News ratings go up and they still end up admitting students with scores at a much higher percentage vs students without scores. (Look at U Chicago numbers or Wesleyan - both test optional schools).
For the Wesleyan 2019 class - 63% of admitted students submitted the SAT and 39% of admitted students submitted the ACT. Yes the math doesn’t work, as some candidates submit both sets of scores. So, with the double submitting - I can’t tell how many students DID NOT submit scores were actually admitted - but the number can not be large.
I am still encouraging my child to prep and move forward that there will be testing later this year and not become unmotivated by hoping they will be one of the lucky test optional applicants. Our schools college counselor sent out an email with some of the information I used and said all juniors should continue studying for the tests unless your counselor had made a different recommendation. It is too early to tell if test optional will really be test optional.
We can all go crazy speculating how much it has changed for our Class of 2021 - but we know colleges need students, students want to go to college and a process that we have very little control over just gave us even less control
Not easy on us parents!

