@legaleagle1 Look at the link I posted. The predicted cutoff is a 218, so I would say you are on the border.
Can someone explain to me why my friends have their scores and I don’t? None of us received an access code but their scores were automatically put on their accounts. I haven’t received an access code yet either.
@garyasho2 I looked at your link. The people building that table say that they are being “conservative” and using a preliminary concordance table issued by the College Board. They also say only 1/2% of each state’s students will get NMSF designation. I think this is a few too many red flags for me to break a kid’s heart 8 months too early.
I think that new chart is a lot closer to reality…but I hope they are overestimating by at least one point 
@jerzmaster I think that these are the most realistic predictions that we’ve had to date. And at least, if you scored higher than those scores in your state, you have a huge chance of getting NMSF.
Haha I’m 2 points off from the CA (219) cut-off…hopefully they over-predicted by a bit.
@jerzmaster @garyasho2 @SammieB Unfortunately, I agree that 218 sounds about right for MD. My D has 217.
How to convert your New PSAT score to prior year PSAT scores:
The linked table is calculated using the preliminary concordance tables from the College Board, but making some conservative assumptions. Each student can do the same and get a number that even matches the College Board preliminary estimates better. Here is what you need to do:
- Go to page 4 of the College Board concordance tables (https://collegereadiness.collegeboard.org/pdf/psat-nmsqt-preliminary-concordance-tables-2015.pdf)
- Convert your 3 test scores to the 2014 and prior scores using the tables.
- Add your converted scores up to determine you 2014 and prior selection index.
- Compare your 2014 and prior selection index to a prior years cutoffs (here is a link to last year’s NMSF cut-offs by state http://blog.prepscholar.com/national-merit-semifinalist)
I do think that the scores are really close to that latest chart but I think they could go lower by a point or two. Mostly because the concordance tables seem off. God please let 216 be the cut in Texas!
Will all of the access codes be sent by tomorrow? Or will a lot of us have to wait until the mailed copies arrive? I am also in West Michigan and this is just ridiculous. What do you all think?
@JuicyMango This might be a long shot, but I wonder if CA won’t have one of the highest cutoffs this year. Ca students generally study for SAT, and since the new SAT is very similar to the ACT, I wonder if the typical ACT states will have the highest cutoffs. Or maybe I’ve become deluded lol.
@EcSkater , see article below. Also do you have multiple CB accounts? If you do, you need to merge them. Do you have the same email on your score sheet as well as your CB account? Also make sure your CB profile is complete, graduation year and high school, etc.
http://www.examiner.com/article/2015-psat-nmsqt-scores-debut-tomorrow
Best of luck! We were there this morning.
@jerzmaster This method results in a lower core than last year.
@buffalo11 203 has a very good shot at being commended.
Still no e-mail / access code. Waiting in Wisconsin. I’m not confident about getting a code tomorrow. Probably will be calling on Monday and spending a lot of time on hold…
@aron Please clarify “lower core” because I want to make sure I understand. Also, I’m not advocating using the preliminary College Board concordance tables. That just happens to be the only information released by CB so far and the basis for the test service calculations on cut-off scores. My “gut feeling” tells me that CB’s final concordance tables that will be released in May will be a little different and more generous for the kids.
@ambitionsquared Well, let’s both hope your theory is true haha. It’s not impossible; maybe CA students aren’t as accustomed to this version of the PSAT as students from other states are. Just checked with some friends (who are smart) and they got 1300-range so that’s giving me some hope :p.
Anyone else still not have their scores?
@gusmahler Thank you, I hope so!
@JuicyMango -I hope those predictions are high as well.