Two things:
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They, not you, need to calculate. You likely don’t have access to all of their investment files. It’s not just a question of what they earn. And each school will have a different cost. Please have them fill it out.
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There are kids who achieve a good career and those that don’t - whether it’s Stanford or Cal State San Bernardino. In the end, that will be up to you.
If Pomona is your top choice, and you might look at an events calendar because I don’t believe the lively area is that school - but if it is and you want to ED (you don’t need to), then it’s great. But have you factored in the music lessons costs - I imagine they will be pricey - so it’s $68K + that.
I would remove UM. You can sub in Indiana U. Indiana is similar (much less selective and less reputed but a similar type school) and similarly reputed in music. It’s a safety for you.
You would need to have your parents (not you) run the NPCs for Barnard, Yale, U Penn, Wash U, Northwestern, USC, Stanford and Rice - unless $100K a year is ok for them (+ lessons - which I don’t know what they cost but won’t be cheap).
I would look to find schools - whether a Case Western, U of Cincinnati, Rochester, Western Michigan, Temple, Belmont or more - that offer experts in jazz voice, etc.
You aren’t going to find that everywhere.
In regards to all the things you think - research, med school prep or great career, you have a great list if you can afford it - but they are names and they all don’t meet your desires like maybe a Pitt or College of Charleston (only because it’s downtown so there’s always stuff happening), Florida State, UGA, U Miami, UCLA - honestly, you sound to me, like a bigger school person - but again, you have a niche of your performing arts - and you’ll either have to let lessons go or do further research, in my opinion, to find the schools that meet your need.
Personally, I don’t see that as a Pomona - but I also think you are putting way too much emphasis on a school will make me successful (it won’t but you will).
If you were my child, I would reach out to a school, like U Rochester, and find out - how much lessons cost and figure out the annual cost. Your parents could afford $68K but what if it were $88K with lessons, could they? Find the breaking point. If you find out lessons are $20K a year or $30K a year - then you can drop your budget by that much, etc.
I think you need to do more research.
You might also visit campuses near home that are large - to get a feel. Check out the activity on the quad. Look at club lists online - how active are they, etc.
And the music program - that you need to dig more into.
That’s just what I think - you are premature a bit and yes, your list is a bit over the top name wise.
Hope that helps.